Software Innovation? or Death by a thousand cuts?

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Adobes’ announcement that they will be going to a subscription only model with their software, has taken some people by surprise (I’m one of them)

As a general rule I update my Adobe software every other year and was looking forward to upgrading to Version 7 of the creative suite applications.

There will not be a Version 7… instead you’ll get to pay for the privilege of using the software.

At this point it looks like the cost will be around $600 a year.

Which means that folks like me will no longer be able to budget / amortize the expense quite as efficiently.

I use Adobe products, and for the most part I like them. I’m not so sure about this new paradigm.

Each time I’ve upgraded software it’s cost me about $600 but that was amortized over a two or three year period, depending on the length of time between versions. I’ve been able to keep current for $200 to $300 per year, this was an expense I could easily justify.

The last version upgrade, I downgraded to a version of the Creative Suite that  contained only the applications that I actually use on a regular basis. I saved myself some cash and I was happy with what I got.

Now I’m on the horns of a dilemma. I can upgrade to Creative Suite 6, or I can sign up with the Adobe subscription service and have the latest greatest versions of all Adobe products downloaded from the cloud regularly to my computer.

Problem is, my yearly software costs will go through the roof. $600 for Adobe, (albeit the entire Adobe suite, much of which I don’t use) plus potentially $219 for Microsoft Office 365.

Yep, another subscription service which would update my version of Office in a fashion similar to the Adobe model. And then there’s the question of which of the other pieces of software that I’m dependent on will move to this subscription model.

My anti-virus solution is thankfully not one of the expensive options like Symantec, McAfee, or god help me, Intego. If you add the cost of most of these solutions at $100 to $150 per year to the current estimate of around $800 you’re up to almost a $1000 per year, just to use a computer that you own (and have to upgrade) with mainstream software.

$1000 a year to rent software? Is the price worth it?

Why does this feel like a drug dealer on the corner? (Hey man, come try this… for a year), then BANG, you’re selling sperm to keep the software activated so that you can finish a term paper or edit your resume.

I’m uncomfortable with this paradigm.

Given that installation of Adobe Products has in the past taken 2 to 4 discs and as long as 45 minutes, I shudder to think how long it will take to get a cloud installation over DSL link that resets every two hours.

I’m still digging through the FAQs on the Adobe site to find out what happens when / if you (or I) as a consumer decide to discontinue the subscription. Does the software degrade? Or does the software continue to work until the next time it phones the mother ship then self destruct?

This is of course a  wet dream of the software industry and the RIAA. When your license expires, is revoked, or you violate the terms of use detailed in the 800 page licensing agreement that you’ve never been able to fully read (You couldn’t get through War & Peace either.)  The offended manufacturer simply wipes the software from your computer without notice.

It was in the licensing agreement that we could remove our software from your computer, & you agreed to it.

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In a rather odd turn of events, Microsoft is pretty upfront about what they do.

If you should decide to discontinue Office 365, the programs degrade into a read / print only mode.

Essentially you can’t edit your document anymore but you can open it in view / print mode.

That’s reasonable I suppose but you’d never have that situation with the old model, where you had a version of the software on CD or DVD.

Which in the case of Microsoft are or will be available as a purchasable stand alone product, for however long that lasts.

My concern is that Adobe is creating a class of people who cannot afford to maintain a subscription. I myself have to think twice about the yearly cost. For a corporation this pricing model is nothing, it’s the cost of doing business.

But for a smaller one person operation, $600 per workstation just to have access to the software is a chunk of change. If Adobe was the only company doing this, it might be a tenable option. But all the costs add up when you factor in other main stream software subscriptions.

When does the burden of subscription pricing become too much for a small business to bear? $1200, $2500, $3000 per workstation, per year?

I guess time will tell, and the marketplace will decide what price it will bear.

I spoke to an Adobe representative about my options. A number of things about the conversation struck me.

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First and foremost was a seething arrogance on the part of the Adobe representative and to some extent Adobe that I personally found offensive.

Were I not already invested in Adobe products I’d have hung up and not even considered purchasing anything Adobe ever again.

The only reason that I continued the conversation was that I was learning a lot more about what’s happened to Adobe culture, and what they’ve become.

Sure this kid was 19 years old but it was very obvious that he’d drunk deep of the corporate kool-aid.

What’s become crystal clear in my opinion, is that Adobe really isn’t interested in the small shops. They believe that their profits will come from large companies, and that the upgrade fees from small shops are completely insufficient. Along those lines they’re probably figuring that the small users are costing Adobe too much in overhead.

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I’ve seen this kind of thinking before and Well… there’s a company in El Segundo that expanded to worldwide distribution, decided that the “little” contracts were too much trouble to deal with and who are now a few small offices on the fourth floor of a certain bank building.

Yet another example was on the eighth floor of a building in Irvine. They had custom woven carpets made for their new facility in the penthouse of that same building.

The company imploded before they ever made the move into their posh new penthouse digs.

Not because they spent money like drunken sailors but because of attitude.

I personally knew it was over when a principal of the company told our investors lawyers; “If investors can’t understand that we aren’t like other dot coms because we make a product, I don’t want their money.” and he didn’t get it…

All the investment firm was asking for was to drop the dot com from our corporate name.

3 months later he and all the rest of us were packing up our desks in the infamous dot com implosion. We had a product, it was ready to hit the shelves but there wasn’t enough money to get into production. By that time investors were steering clear of anything that ended in dot com.

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The Adobe representative’s cockiness reminded me of these companies. Adobe may very well have grown beyond itself.

I’m also reminded of Borland, Aston-Tate, AST Research, Data Products & Lucent. All great companies in their time,  all gone, or anorexic shadows of themselves.

The 19 year old doesn’t have my perspective. He couldn’t see the wry smile on my face and couldn’t understand that when he thought he was winning he was actually losing.

I was silently running through comparisons of what I actually need and what Adobe provides. I can replace Adobe functionality with other products.

It’s not my first choice, but I can do it.

I’m thinking I’ll upgrade to Creative Suite 6 and then, in a couple of years we’ll see what happens. Hell I might even drink the kool-aid for a year just to see if the {queue angelic chorus} cloud is worth it.

I understand the reasoning behind companies wanting to move to cloud based distribution. It’s cheaper!

No packaging, no CD/DVD manufacturing, and if you release a piece of crap, you can fix it live, instead of having to send out physical media.

The darker underbelly is that you don’t need as many testing folks, because your customers are now testing your product for you. Microsoft has been doing this for years…

If Adobe really is focusing on larger corporations and trying to effectively price the small / single users out of the market, then it’s a pretty sure bet layoffs are imminent at Adobe.

My logic is this, fewer customers requiring technical support, means that Adobe needs fewer technical support personnel,  & fewer sales people. Ergo profits at Adobe can be maximized by cutting un-necessary personnel. I’m old, cynical, and jaded… And so are the executives at Adobe & Microsoft!

The 19 year old seems to believe that Adobe is too big to fail. Who can blame him, he’s young and impressionable. He’ll probably be crying in his Red Bull inside a year, but that remains to be seen.

I’m curious about just how many other customers are not happy about this new direction. How many will do the math, and think there has to be a better way?

How many will update to Creative Suite 6 then batten down the hatches waiting for the pricing model to get reasonable, the cloud to fail, Adobe to backtrack, or alternative and highly competitive products to be available?

I wonder if saying “I used to work at Adobe” will be answered with “Oh good company” OR “Oh sorry man”

Time passes & the computer industry eats it’s wounded.

Grumpy Naked Computing (What happens at my house late at night)

1:00 am, the leather of my chair is cold on my bare ass as I sit down at my desk.

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I was just about asleep, then my technology started chiming with a regularity that forced me awake again.

Comments are being made on the blog, but they’re comments on really old posts.

I dig a little deeper. There are thousands of comments now, all of them trying to slip through the comment process so that they can post a link to what is probably a bogus web site.

The sites claims to be selling replica shoes, or handbags at very low prices.

More comments more bullshit.

Tracking the originating IP for this stuff takes me to China.

I scratch my balls. Got a friend in China… don’t want to cut him off but don’t know which IP addresses he’s likely to be using, These IPs look like they’re from Beijing.

I wish my buddy would come the hell home, I’d like to see him, I miss him.

When my buddy comes home all of China is going in the exclude list. I see how to do that elegantly and simply. 

In the mean time I’m blocking all the IP addresses that these spam comments are originating from. 

I try to maintain a blog that is enjoyable and yet isn’t draconian. I hate like hell having to block any IP but where there’s the potential to steal, there’s always someone willing to try.

I used to be pretty agnostic about it.

I thought if you were stupid enough to click on a link, or greedy enough that you wanted a Rolex for $50.00 and were willing to give someone your account numbers you pretty much got what you deserved.

I figured let the greedy scum feed on each other until only one scumbag remained, then snatch that scumbag up and toss their ass in a dark prison with their orifices clearly labeled when they went to the showers.

But then I started seeing the collateral damage. 

I saw the old, the charitable,the kind, the inexperienced being taken advantage of and my agnosticism evaporated.

Which is not to say that I support anything like CISPA or PIPPA or in fact most of the bullshit laws or government is trying to pass.

Hacking is 10,000 shades of gray.

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A hacker who hacks to point out a weakness in a critical system is very different from a hacker that cleans out an old lady’s bank account.

The terms Hackers, and Hacking have lost all meaning in great part due to media misreporting. 

A hacker used to be a person that through their cleverness and innovative thinking was able to penetrate computer security and gain control of a system remotely. They were usually brilliant and more often than not BORED.

Occasionally, they’d cause damage to data, but that generally wasn’t the goal and shouldn’t have been too large a problem if the hacked computers were properly maintained and the data backed up.

The reason that hacking became such a big deal in my opinion was that the folks running the computers systems were embarrassed that they’d been caught with their pants down.

So they whined to their wealthy and powerful bosses who in turn blew the situation out of proportion to the politicians they were playing golf with and then the politicians had a wonderful scary new windmill to tilt at. and they looked busy and ever so smart to their constituents. 

Hackers, were in a way doing a public service. By pointing out the weaknesses of systems in a counting coup way they made the computing gurus of the times re-think their security approach. To some extent the computer security that we enjoy today is because of hackers. Yes, data sometimes gets lost or stolen but it’s not as bad as it could be. I credit that hackers spurred early computer pioneers to think about security.

By the time the government and media got through with the subject… We The People had something else to fear.

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Many of the hackers today aren’t what I’d call hackers.

The phishing emails, the virus laden websites, the chain letters from Nigeria aren’t hacking.

They’re betrayals of trust & kindness. In that way these crimes are no different than the normal Con-Man frauds. They should be prosecuted the same.

Armies of Zombie computers are in my mind perversions of theories of distributed computing. They are nothing more than a marginally clever re-tasking of otherwise brilliantly useful software to nefarious purposes.

You want to know who’s responsible for Phishing? Look at the spelling! 

They’re young, bored, and could be anywhere along the economic privilege curve.

A real Hacker I once knew called them script kiddies. These kids are just clever and technical enough to locate, figure out, and then use Hobby Kits that compile viruses and other creations designed completely and solely to cause mischief or be used in fraud.

But they’re not really creating “New” threats, they’re just reworking existing code.

Phishing techniques aren’t only used by children and criminals. And sometimes even people like me fall for them.

I recently signed a petition on Change.org. 

I wasn’t thinking about the organization, I was thinking about the petition and the cause.

I’m going to be writing about the cause as the story develops further.

Within 24 hours I was getting SPAM of all kinds from Democratic organizations around the country.

It’s taken me DAYS to remove myself from those mailing lists.

Just because I as a thinking person sign a petition supporting a young man being unjustly punished by stupidity doesn’t automatically mean I’m interested in being your best friend AND it doesn’t mean I’m automatically a Democrat.

I pointed out on one of the Removal pages that I held Democrats responsible for the “Zero Tolerance” Policies being used to unjustly punish this young man. 

I’m hoping that someone blows coffee out their nose on Monday morning.

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Ahhh and with that happy message. I’m going back to bed. 

I told you that sometimes the thoughts here would be random.

Goodnight

 

Got Nothin!

Don’t know if it’s that theres’ too much to comment on or that I’m teetering on the edge of not giving a damn.

But for today… 

I’ve got nothin. My head is as empty as intergalactic space.

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